Friday, June 15, 2007

Surprising Polls

I took a glance at realclearpolitics.com just a few minutes ago and was really quite surprised. President Bush has long been scarred by low poll numbers, but the RCP average has gone up since the last time I remember checking, unless my memory serves me incorrectly. I recall looking and seeing Congress tied with the President at 29%, though it could have 31% or something close to that. But now I can just forget that poll, because things are different now. President Bush is at 32% in the RCP average. And Congress? 25.5%! That's right, Congress is now, on average, listed as 6.5% lower than the President. They claim they were elected to fix things in Washington, but their approval rating is now LOWER than the Republican Congress's approval rating around the time of the election (a Fox News poll from 11/4 - 11/5 showed it with 29%). If Congress continues to waste the money of the people who elected them to rename Post Offices and pass meaningless resolution that they even acknowledge will have no effect on anything, their majority will be short-lived. If Republicans decide to go on the offense and defend the Conservative values that put them there for 12 good years, there is no reason they can't capitalize on this opportunity and regain majority status. Not just for the sake of the Republican Party, but for the sake of America.

Another interesting thing to point out: RCP also shows McCain BEATING Clinton now, on average. Granted, there is only a 0.8% spread, but this is showing the gaining Republican momentum against the undeserving Democrats. Until recently, the only Red win overall on RCP was Rudy vs. Hillary. This has now changed. Rudy not only beats Hillary now, but he also beats Obama, on average. McCain beats not only Hillary now, but also John Edwards. Another sign of Republican gains is the first Romney victory in ANY poll to date against a Democrat. An LA Times/Bloomberg poll gives Mitt Romney a +2% victory against Hillary Clinton.

Seeing these polls give us insight to what could possibly happen. If asked 2 months ago, a large majority of Americans would have said it is impossible for Republicans to win the White House in 2008. These polls suggest that things have changed, and a Republican win is not impossible. It will still be a close battle, but if we stick to our values, the Republicans will have recuperated from what seemed to be a horrible sickness inherited from 2006.

No comments: